MISSION BERNABÉU: CAN REAL MADRID PULL OFF THE IMPOSSIBLE AGAINST ARSENAL?

 



Real Madrid v Arsenal (aggregate score: 0-3) April 16, 2025

The Santiago Bernabéu, the cathedral of football miracles, prepares for what could be one of the most memorable European nights in its storied history. Real Madrid, the 14-time European champions, find themselves in unfamiliar territory - needing to overturn a three-goal deficit against an Arsenal side that has never conceded a goal to the Spanish giants in European competition.

The shocking 3-0 defeat at the Emirates Stadium has left Carlo Ancelotti's men with a mountain to climb. History shows just how difficult their task is - Real Madrid have lost the first leg of a Champions League knockout tie by 3+ goals on five previous occasions, and were eliminated in three of the four previous instances. The sole exception came nearly 50 years ago against Derby County in 1975-76, when they overturned a 1-4 first-leg defeat to win 6-5 on aggregate.

"The Bernabéu has seen many magical nights, but we need something special now," admitted Real Madrid's captain. "We believe in ourselves and our fans. In Madrid, nothing is impossible."

Arsenal arrive in the Spanish capital with confidence soaring. The Gunners remain unbeaten against Real Madrid in European competition with two wins and one draw, without conceding a single goal across their three meetings. Mikel Arteta's men could make history by becoming the first side ever to keep four consecutive clean sheets against Los Blancos in the European Cup/Champions League.

The London club has been exceptional in this season's competition, averaging 2.55 goals scored and just 0.55 conceded per game (28 scored, six conceded overall). These are their second-best averages in a single European Cup/Champions League campaign, after the 2.63 scored in 2010-11 and 0.31 conceded in 2005-06.

If Real Madrid are to pull off an incredible comeback, they'll need to produce a performance of historic proportions. Across the 53 games they've played against English sides in the European Cup/Champions League, they've managed to win by more than three goals on just two previous occasions: 5-1 v Derby County in 1975-76 and 4-0 v Tottenham Hotspur in 2010-11.

However, the Bernabéu has been a fortress in recent years. Since the start of the 2015-16 season, Real Madrid have played the second leg of a Champions League knockout stage tie at home 15 times. They've been eliminated on just one occasion (v Ajax in 2018-19) and have progressed from the last eight in a row.

All eyes will be on Kylian Mbappé, who has been directly involved in eight goals in eight knockout stage games against English sides (seven goals, one assist), including five in four home matches (four goals, one assist). His Brazilian teammate Vinícius Júnior is approaching a milestone - currently on 28 goals and 21 assists, he could become just the fourth different Real Madrid player to reach 50 goal involvements in the Champions League after Cristiano Ronaldo, Karim Benzema, and Raúl.

Arsenal's tactical approach in the first leg was telling. Despite averaging more possession (53.4%), they made 115 high-intensity pressures in the final third - more than three times as many as Real Madrid, whose total of 36 was the lowest of any side across this season's quarter-final first legs.

The Gunners also have a chance to make history on the road. They could equal their longest winning run away from home in the European Cup/Champions League (four matches) if they avoid defeat. Remarkably, the only previous time they won four in a row, the fourth game was also a victory against Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu (1-0 in February 2006).

One of Arsenal's rising stars made history in the first leg. Myles Lewis-Skelly became just the third English teenager to assist a goal in a Champions League knockout stage match. All three have done so while playing for Arsenal: Theo Walcott in 2008 (v Milan and Liverpool), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain in 2012 (v Milan) and now Lewis-Skelly.

"We're not coming here to defend," insisted Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta. "We respect Real Madrid's history, but we've created our own story this season and want to continue writing it."

Will the Bernabéu witness another European miracle, or will Arsenal's defensive solidity prevail in what promises to be a night of high drama in Madrid?

We thank OPTA for providing the statistical data. Photo: source XYZ


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