Manchester United vs Burnley: Match Prediction - Will Red Devils Finally Secure First Win of 2025-26?

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30 August 2025, Old Trafford

After the shocking defeat to Grimsby Town in the League Cup, Ruben Amorim will desperately seek his first win of the season when Manchester United host Burnley at Old Trafford. The Opta supercomputer gives the home side a 67.9% chance of victory.

Manchester United's crisis

The Portuguese manager has endured one of the worst results of his career - elimination by fourth-tier Grimsby Town on penalties after a 2-2 draw. This debacle means Amorim has won only 35.6% of his 45 competitive matches in charge of United - the lowest success rate of any manager since Alex Ferguson's departure.

In the Premier League, United lost 1-0 to Arsenal in the opening round and drew 1-1 with Fulham, with Bruno Fernandes missing a penalty. Since the start of April, United have earned the fewest points of all ever-present top-flight teams - just six points (1 win, 3 draws, 7 losses).

Home troubles

Particularly concerning is United's form at Old Trafford, where they have lost eight of their last 13 league matches. No ever-present team has lost more home games since December last year.

Nevertheless, United remain unbeaten in their last 23 league games against promoted teams (20 wins, 3 draws). Their last such defeat came against Watford 4-1 in November 2021, which marked the end of Ole Gunnar Solskjær's tenure.

Burnley seeking consistency

Scott Parker's team arrives after a 2-0 victory over Sunderland, where Josh Cullen and Jaidon Anthony each scored and assisted. This win ended a run of four consecutive defeats, but Burnley haven't won two league games in a row since April 2022.

Burnley are one of only three teams undefeated in more than half their Premier League visits to Old Trafford (9 games: 1 win, 4 draws, 4 defeats). Their only league victory at Old Trafford came in January 2020 with a 2-0 result.

Prediction

The Opta supercomputer gives United a 68% chance of victory, with a draw at 18.3% and a Burnley win at just 13.6%. Despite their current crisis, the home side should prevail, though their form inspires little confidence.

Thanks to Stats Perform for the data.

Photo:sportskeeda.com

More information:24live.com






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