WHERE THE WHITE BALLET DANCES WITH CERTAINTY: IMPREGNABLE VITORIA, WHERE MBAPPE COLLECTS POINTS
Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid CF
April 13th, 2025
Molinón in Basque Vitoria will host a clash between two teams with different ambitions on Sunday. The home team Alavés is fighting for a comfortable mid-table position, while Real Madrid needs every point in the battle for the league title.
Deportivo Alavés has one of the worst historical records against Real Madrid of all LaLiga teams. From 37 mutual matches in the top flight, the Basques have managed to win only four times (2 draws, 31 losses). However, two of these triumphs came in the last 11 duels (9 losses) - 1-0 in October 2018 under Abelardo Fernández and 2-1 in November 2020 with Pablo Machín on the bench.
Real Madrid has been almost unbeatable against Alavés in this millennium. The "White Ballet" has won 87% of its matches against Deportivo Alavés in LaLiga since 2001 (from 23 duels: 20 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The Royal Club has a higher percentage of victories in this period only against Granada (95% - from 20 matches: 19 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) among all opponents against which it has played 5 or more times.
If Real were to win this time as well, they would enter the historical tables. The Madrid team has won the last four away matches against Alavés in LaLiga and could become only the second team in the entire history of the competition to win five matches in a row at the ground of this Basque club. So far, only Osasuna has managed this between 2006 and 2023 (six consecutive wins).
Although historical statistics favor the visitors, the home team is experiencing a rise in form. Alavés has won two of its last four LaLiga matches (1 draw, 1 loss), which is one more victory than in the rest of their league matches under Argentine coach Eduardo Coudet (from 11 duels: 1 win, 6 draws, 4 losses).
On the contrary, Real Madrid does not have its traditional dominance in the recent period. The Madrid giant has lost three of the last nine LaLiga matches (4 wins, 2 draws), which is the same number of defeats as in the previous 62 league matches combined (46 wins, 13 draws, 3 losses).
An important factor will be who scores the first goal. Alavés is among the teams that have a problem turning around an unfavorable development of a match. Only Las Palmas (10 matches), Sevilla (8), and Real Valladolid (8) have conceded the first goal more times at home in LaLiga this season without then winning any of these matches, than Alavés (from 7 such matches: 2 draws, 5 losses).
The home team's striker Kike García is among the players who have a good record against Real Madrid. In 13 matches against the "White Ballet," he has managed to score four goals. He has recorded more goals in LaLiga only against Athletic Club, Leganés, Real Betis, and Sevilla (five each), and has the same number against Osasuna, Granada, and Villarreal.
The main star of Real Madrid is Kylian Mbappé, who has earned his team the most points with his goals of all players in LaLiga in the 2024/25 season (18 points thanks to 22 goals scored).
Alavés coach Eduardo Coudet has lost all five of his matches against Real Madrid in LaLiga, which is more defeats than against any other opponent in this competition. On the other hand, Real coach Carlo Ancelotti has won all five of his matches against Alavés in LaLiga. Only against Almería and Granada (8 matches each) has he faced more times while winning 100% of the duels in this competition.
We thank OPTA for providing the statistical data.
Photo: source XYZ
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