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OSTRAVA'S INVINCIBILITY VS PARDUBICE'S GOAL DROUGHT: WILL A HISTORIC RECORD FALL?



FC Baník Ostrava – FK Pardubice

March 29th, 2025

Baník Ostrava is experiencing one of the best seasons in club history. After defeating Plzeň, Baník has recorded its fourth consecutive win, which they've achieved for the second time this Chance Liga season. Their total of 17 wins this season represents a historic record for Ostrava at this stage of the competition. If the Silesians lose no more than two points in the last four matches, they will record the best regular season in club history (the current record is 63 points from the 2003-04 season).

Pardubice, on the other hand, are suffering through a scoring drought. The East Bohemians haven't scored in seven consecutive league matches, matching Bohemians' unfortunate streak from 2016-2017. If they fail to score in Ostrava, they will become the first team with eight consecutive league matches without a goal since Hradec Králové in August 2014.

Baník Ostrava has gained 4.2 points more (18) after the winter break than they should have based on their Expected Points value (13.8), with only Sparta having a more positive xP difference (4.4). Baník also has the most positive point difference throughout the entire season with a value of 10.5.

Pardubice should be alert when the opposition makes substitutions later in the match – substitute players have not recorded as many direct goal involvements against any other team as they have against Pardubice in 2025 (6). The East Bohemians have also conceded the most goals in the second half (9; tied with Budějovice) and the most goals in the last 15 minutes of matches (3; tied with Jablonec) after the winter break.

Michal Frydrych has been unlucky in this Chance Liga season – he still has no assists to his name, despite having the highest Expected Assists value among players without an assist. Furthermore, only Christián Frýdek has created more big chances among players without an assist (7) than Frydrych (5).

We thank OPTA for providing the statistical data.


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