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Showing posts with the label football analytics

BALL IN PLAY: ARE WE SEEING LESS FOOTBALL IN THE PREMIER LEAGUE THIS SEASON?

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  Set-Pieces and Delays Eating Into Actual Playing Time With set-pieces and throw-ins increasing this season, are we seeing less of the ball in play in the Premier League? We dig into the data to find out. The start of every football match brings anticipation – wondering what could occur over the next 90+ minutes. Will the star players perform well? Will the referee have a good game? And will the football gods shine down just the right amount of fortune? A slightly more pertinent question to ask this season, though, is how much football will we actually see? THE DECLINING TREND A couple of seasons ago, analysis revealed that Premier League fans weren't seeing quite as much open-play football in games as previous years. This prompted key changes such as more stoppage time being added. The result? Average ball-in-play time per game rose from 54 minutes and 49 seconds in 2022-23 to 58 minutes and 11 seconds in 2023-24. It's still early in the 2025-26 season, but the pendulu...

NFL Predictions: Five Takeaways From Opta Analyst's 2025 Projected Standings

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  Though a few teams finish around where most people would expect in our 2025 season projections, there are some surprising landing spots among the best and worst teams from last season. As training camps commence across the NFL, the stage is set for another unpredictable season. With free agency moves, draft selections, and schedule releases now complete, we possess sufficient data to deploy our comprehensive projection model and forecast the 2025 campaign. Our analytical approach involved processing extensive data through 1,000 simulations to determine each team's projected record, playoff probabilities, divisional chances, and Super Bowl odds. The methodology incorporates player ratings, roster depth charts, coaching changes, and home-field advantages based on historical scoring differentials. Teams received individual "team scores" derived from these factors, then underwent head-to-head evaluations to project likely outcomes. The simulations account for potential ...